Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for TAUKTAE-21 in India, Pakistan on 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21

in India, Pakistan

14 May 2021 06 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2021-000056-IND
Exposed countries	India, Pakistan
Exposed population	6.2 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	222 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.3 m (18 May 03:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)
Landfall	between 17 May 2021 06:00 - 18 May 2021 06:00 in India

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	204 km/h	1.3 m	n.a.	2.5
Overall	222 km/h	1.3 m	n.a.	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

204 km/h Current Max.

Up to 4.1 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
	1	14 May 2021 06:00	204	44.6 million	4.1 million	India, Pakistan

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	11.8 million people	11.6, 72.1
1	14 May 2021 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	17.1 million people	12.6, 72.4
1	15 May 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	13.6 million people	13.9, 72.4
1	15 May 2021 18:00	Category 1	130	no people	4.6 million people	15.3, 71.8
1	16 May 2021 06:00	Category 2	167	no people	3.6 million people	16.7, 71
1	17 May 2021 06:00	Category 3	204	1.4 million people	16.1 million people	19.1, 69.5
1	18 May 2021 06:00	Category 2	157	3.4 million people	23.1 million people	22.6, 69	India
1	19 May 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	26.1, 70.6	India

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
India
Pakistan

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Gujarat	India
Rajasthan	India
Sind	Pakistan

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Porbandar	Gujarat	India	City	140000 people
Bhuj	Gujarat	India	City	130000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Porbandar	PBD	6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4500
Rudra Mata	BHJ	82	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8200
Raedhanpur		61				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Porbandar	INPBD	India
Dwarkar	INDWA	India
Vadinar	INVAD	India
Okha	INOKH	India
Mundra	INMUN	India
Mandvi	INMDV	India
Jakhau	INJAK	India

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

1.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 1.3m in Madhi, India. This height is estimated for 18 May 2021 03:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (187 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 14 May 2021 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	18 May 2021 03:00	Madhi	India	1.3
	18 May 2021 01:00	Miyani	India	1.3
	18 May 2021 01:00	Lamba	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 23:00	Asarsa	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 23:00	Wadgam	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 23:00	Tankari	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 23:00	Muler	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 00:00	Adodar	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 00:00	Porbandar	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 23:00	Kambhat	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 23:00	Kavi	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 23:00	Sarod	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 02:00	Bhogat	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 21:00	Shil	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 21:00	Ghogha	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 03:00	Okha	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 22:00	Harinagar	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 21:00	Dahej	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 21:00	Olpad	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 18:00	Mahuva	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 23:00	Ratia	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 21:00	Mangrol	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 23:00	Gorser	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 21:00	Surat	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 18:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 04:00	Dwarka	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 19:00	Chorwad	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 20:00	Jalalpur	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 20:00	Mahuver	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 20:00	Kotada	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 21:00	Bhagva	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 17:00	Dharabandar	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 17:00	Rohisa	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 20:00	Damka	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 17:00	Jafarabad	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 16:00	Delvada	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 16:00	Nawabandar	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 17:00	Lodhwa	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 19:00	Veraval	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 19:00	Somnath	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 18:00	Sutrapada	India	0.7
	18 May 2021 06:00	Gadechi	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 16:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 16:00	Dangarvadi	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 17:00	Kodinar	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 00:00	Malvan	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 19:00	Udvada	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 19:00	Bordi	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 19:00	Umbargam	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 19:00	Daman	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 18:00	Gholvad	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 19:00	Maroli	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 19:00	Tarapur	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 11:00	Bhatkal	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 18:00	Shirgaon	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 18:00	Palghar	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 18:00	Mahim	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 18:00	Malyan	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 18:00	Boisar	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 14:00	Belekeri	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 18:00	Marmagao	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 18:00	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 23:00	Vengurla	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 16:00	Advota	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 16:00	Chaudi	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 18:00	Nalasopara	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 18:00	Agashi	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 18:00	Dongri	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 17:00	Vasai	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 16:00	Mumbai	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 16:00	Trombay	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 20:00	Agacaim	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 20:00	Mira Bhayandar	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 20:00	Navghar	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 14:00	Ankola	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 17:00	Malad	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 16:00	Uran	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 14:00	Gokarn	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 14:00	Kumta	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 16:00	Majali	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 16:00	Sadashivgarh	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 16:00	Karwar	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 11:00	Shirali	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 17:00	Asumumbay	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 21:00	Payyoli	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 21:00	Quilandi	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 18:00	Bankot	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 18:00	Kelshi	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 03:00	Devgarh	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 21:00	Terekhol	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 21:00	Chopdem	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 22:00	Edakkad	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 22:00	Dharmadam	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 22:00	Tellicherry	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 22:00	Mahe	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 10:00	Manamelkudi	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 10:00	Ammapatam	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 11:00	Guhagar	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 11:00	Anjanwel	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 21:00	Anjuna	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 20:00	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 05:00	Vijayadurg	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 05:00	Adiura	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 05:00	Pural	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 14:00	Honavar	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 14:00	Manki	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 14:00	Mavalli	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 15:00	Mandve	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 20:00	Srivardhan	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 11:00	Mirya	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 11:00	Ratnagiri	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 00:00	Achra	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 18:00	Madgaon	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 11:00	Chittadi	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 19:00	Turavur	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 20:00	Revadanda	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 20:00	Murud	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 22:00	Chirakkal	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 22:00	Valapattanam	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 22:00	Azhikkal	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 22:00	Cannanore	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 11:00	Jaigarh	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 11:00	Kundapura	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 06:00	Aramda	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 11:00	Purnagad	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 18:00	Panaji	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 14:00	Bainduru	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 17:00	Alibag	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 16:00	Boria	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 10:00	Kottaippattanam	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 11:00	Purangad	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 11:00	Udipi	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 11:00	Mulki	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 10:00	Mangaluru	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 19:00	Alleppey	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 10:00	Manjeshwaram	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 10:00	Kumbla	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:00	Kasaragod	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:00	Bekal	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Talakkolattur	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 15:00	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 15:00	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 09:00	Ambalapulai	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:00	Chervattur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:00	Trikkaripur	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Kozhikode	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Beypore	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:00	Nileshwar	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:00	Madayipara	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:00	Madayi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:00	Kannapuram	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Tirurangadi	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Tanur	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Mattancheri	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 22:00	Badagara	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Chaliyam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Talikkulam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Cochin	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 12:00	Tondi	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Ponnani	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Veliyangod	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Kadikkad	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Chaughat	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Pappinivatti	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Manattala	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Chavakkad	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Guruvayur	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 08:00	Karaikal	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 08:00	Accarapatam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 09:00	Kayankulam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 09:00	Karunagapalli	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 08:00	Nagappattinam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 09:00	Haripad	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 15:00	Delft Centre	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 08:00	Vembar	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Thoothukkudi	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Melmandai	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Irumeni	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:00	Vijayapati	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Quilon	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Erukkandurai	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:00	Periathullay	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Kulasekharapatnam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:00	Tiruchendur	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Cape Comorin	India	0.1

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